Ex-OpenAI researcher Daniel Kokotajlo walked away from $2 million rather than stay silent, and now reveals why he believes there's a 70% chance AI leads to human extinction, why superintelligence could arrive before the end of the decade, and the one plan he thinks could still save us all!
Daniel Kokotajlo is a former OpenAI researcher and one of the world's leading AI forecasters. He is the founder of the AI Futures Project and the lead author of 'AI 2027', the widely-read scenario mapping the trajectory of artificial intelligence. His follow-up, 'AI 2040: Plan A', sets out how the world could still navigate superintelligence safely.
He explains:
■ What he saw inside OpenAI that made him walk away
■ Why the people building AI privately believe it's coming even sooner than the public is being told
■ What happens if AI becomes powerful enough that humans can no longer control it, and why he puts the odds of catastrophe as high as 70%
■ Why almost every job could be automated, and what that means for the next generation
■ The plan he believes could still lead to abundance and a future worth living in
Chapters
- Intro
- Why This AI Mission Could Affect Everyone
- Why the Average Person Should Care About AI
- Are AI Experts Overreacting or Sounding the Alarm?
- Why He Joined OpenAI—and What He Saw Inside
- Why He Left OpenAI
- What It Was Like Inside OpenAI During ChatGPT's Launch
- The Million NDA Controversy Explained
- Is Full AI Automation Coming Faster Than We Think?
- The AI 2027 Forecast That Changed the Conversation
- AGI vs. Superintelligence: The Difference That Matters
- How Robots Could Soon Become Part of Everyday Life
- Why AI Works More Like the Human Brain Than You Think
- Can AI Ever Be Truly Creative?
- What Are the Real Odds of Human Extinction From AI?
- What AI Will Do to Jobs
- The Skills That Will Still Matter in an AI World
- AI 2040: What the Future Could Look Like
- The Different Futures AI Could Create
- Will AI Become Earth's Apex Species?
- How AI CEOs Really Make Decisions
- Will AI Decide the 2028 Election?
- Is There a Safe Path to Accelerating AI?
- By 2031, AI Could Do 20% of Cognitive Work
- Should Everyone Receive AI Dividends?
- What It Will Feel Like to Live Through the AI Revolution
- How People Find Purpose After AI Replaces Jobs
- Would He Shut Down AI Forever If He Could?
- What Can We Actually Do About AI?
- Is It Already Too Late to Change Course?
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Daniel's AI predictions:
https://ai-2027.com/
https://ai-2040.com/
AI risk reading list:
https://blog.redwoodresearch.org/p/ai-futurism-reading-list
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